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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+5.35vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+5.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+5.89vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.85+3.50vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.72+3.26vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86+4.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74+4.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32+0.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.17vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.64-2.33vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.06-5.66vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.40-3.70vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.27-4.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-6.70vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.95-4.47vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-9.07vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.72-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.5College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.68University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.95Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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13.53Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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17.54University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Carter Cameron | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 10.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Feeney | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Roger Dorr | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Shane Riera | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.