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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.27+10.00vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.56+3.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.02vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.95+8.34vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.85+3.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.86+5.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.51+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.64-1.45vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.74+0.19vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.72-5.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.40-4.70vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.06-8.74vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.72-0.45vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-10.21vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.32-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.0Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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13.34Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston2.850.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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11.01Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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7.21Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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17.55University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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11.91Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Romain Screve | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shane Riera | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Carter Cameron | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Feeney | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Tye Rubin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 52.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.