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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+8.88vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+8.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.85+5.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.64+4.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+3.84vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.15vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89+0.03vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.06-1.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.40+0.46vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-5.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-0.88vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.27-2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.86-1.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.99vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University3.43-10.32vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.95-4.53vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.72-1.62vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.74-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston2.850.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.39University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.97Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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6.68Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.47Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Carter Cameron | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Feeney | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Romain Screve | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Shane Riera | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Tye Rubin | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 50.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.