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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+5.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+7.45vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.06+4.01vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.95vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.27+5.33vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+2.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.82vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.64-0.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32+0.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.74+0.29vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.86-0.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.40-4.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.95-3.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-8.67vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-8.14vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.72-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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6.53Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.66Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Feeney | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Shane Riera | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 10.6% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 7.5% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Tye Rubin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.