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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.43+4.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+9.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.76vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+1.53vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.73+3.68vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.53+3.28vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.29+1.19vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.15vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.55-1.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.05vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.68-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.80-2.77vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.45-2.23vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.32-6.86vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.68-5.17vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.84-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.28Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.19Georgetown University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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13.77Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.83Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Wisconsin0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Williams | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Gower | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Munger | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maximilian Guerriero | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clay Broussard | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Paper | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| James Jacob | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Tom O'Shea | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% |
| Thomas Kelly | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.