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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.43+4.71vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+8.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+8.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.73+3.59vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.82+0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-3.60vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.53-0.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.39vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.68-0.39vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.29-3.61vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.93vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.45-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.80-4.77vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.68-5.26vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.84-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.59Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.14Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.61Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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10.39Georgetown University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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13.7Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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12.74Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Wisconsin0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Williams | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Maximilian Guerriero | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Michael Munger | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Clay Broussard | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Paper | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Tom O'Shea | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| Charles Hicks | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Kelly | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.