Race 11A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mark Towill 32.1% 23.5% 16.5% 12.8% 7.3% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.1% 16.6% 17.1% 16.1% 15.0% 11.6% 7.2% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 9.2% 11.0% 11.3% 14.2% 15.6% 15.7% 14.6% 7.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 13.9% 13.5% 14.0% 16.3% 14.0% 11.9% 12.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 10.2% 12.9% 14.3% 11.8% 13.5% 16.8% 11.3% 8.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 14.0% 13.8% 15.3% 15.4% 16.0% 13.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephen Sweriduk 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 15.5% 24.8% 18.4% 5.2% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.1% 16.6% 17.1% 16.1% 15.0% 11.6% 7.2% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.7% 7.3% 15.0% 38.7% 20.7% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 4.5% 16.5% 70.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.