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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+7.13vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.32+8.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.55+6.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.43+1.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+0.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.29+4.26vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.53+2.39vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.73+0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.25-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.80+0.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.49vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.45-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.87-3.04vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.15vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-4.22vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.68-5.15vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.84-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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5.69Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.26Georgetown University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.39Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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13.91Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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12.78Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.85Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Wisconsin0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| James Jacob | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Gerald Williams | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Broussard | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Jack Gower | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Muller | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maximilian Guerriero | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Munger | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Peterson | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Thomas Kelly | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.