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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+9.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+4.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.43+2.66vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.73+4.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.29+3.99vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.96vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-1.27vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.55-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.80+1.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.68+1.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.45+0.41vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.56vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.32-5.17vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.49-10.78vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.53-7.92vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.68-5.38vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.84-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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5.66College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.99Georgetown University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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13.11Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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13.41Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.83George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.08Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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12.62Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Wisconsin0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Maximilian Guerriero | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Gerald Williams | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Clay Broussard | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| James Jacob | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
| Michael Munger | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Wade Wagner | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Peterson | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Thomas Kelly | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.