← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.25+9.64vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.43+3.92vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+3.84vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.73+4.62vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.45+9.19vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.59vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.18vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.68+5.21vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.49-3.51vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.32+0.17vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University2.53-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.55-2.36vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.82-5.03vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.80-1.35vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.84+0.61vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-4.95vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.29-6.58vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-7.78vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University1.68-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.64University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
-
5.92College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.62Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
-
14.19Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
-
8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.21Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
-
5.49Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.17George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.35Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
-
9.64Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.97Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.65University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
-
15.61University of Wisconsin0.840.0%1st Place
-
11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.42Georgetown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.59Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Gerald Williams | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Guerriero | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tom O'Shea | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Michael Munger | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Gower | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| James Jacob | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Kelly | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 39.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Clay Broussard | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Paper | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.