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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+6.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.74vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+6.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.57vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+6.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.93vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-3.91vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.63-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.89vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.41vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.09-7.90vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.86-3.78vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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9.46Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.37Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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13.22Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 25.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.