Race 1B

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nikolas Osvalds 25.3% 23.2% 15.6% 15.1% 9.1% 7.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hunter Mumma 12.0% 14.0% 13.7% 15.7% 15.1% 15.3% 9.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Clark 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 14.9% 17.9% 17.3% 11.1% 4.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Albert Nichols 14.0% 15.9% 17.6% 15.3% 14.9% 13.2% 6.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Kurzrok 13.4% 12.9% 15.6% 14.6% 15.7% 16.2% 8.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 18.9% 17.9% 18.8% 15.2% 14.0% 8.9% 5.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Albert Nichols 14.0% 15.9% 17.6% 15.3% 14.9% 13.2% 6.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bogdan Istrate 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.6% 5.1% 11.3% 25.2% 30.3% 20.3% 0.0%
Austen Fiora 0.4% 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 3.0% 8.0% 16.1% 26.8% 41.0% 0.0%
William Feldman 2.2% 2.9% 4.7% 4.5% 6.4% 9.7% 28.2% 22.4% 15.3% 3.7% 0.0%
Eleanor Leonard 1.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 9.5% 20.9% 25.3% 34.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.