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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+8.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.77vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+5.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.49vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.71vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.20vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63+1.92vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.32vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-4.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.52-4.60vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-3.76vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-9.86vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.68Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.43Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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12.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 25.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.