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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.52+7.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.45vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+4.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-0.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-0.60vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-0.27vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.63-0.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-4.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.35vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-1.93vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.16vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-5.15vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.07Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 22.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.