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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+7.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.71vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+6.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+5.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.12vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.63+1.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.98vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-4.63vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-0.01vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.44vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.06vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.0Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.99Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 22.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 16.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.