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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+7.69vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+8.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+7.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76+0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-2.81vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-1.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-1.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.52-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.13vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.39vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.86-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.26Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.6Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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11.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.96Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.