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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+5.06vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+5.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+8.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+5.34vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97+5.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+1.27vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.63+0.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-0.01vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.39vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.13vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-8.14vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.09-7.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.27vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.9Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.27Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 22.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 17.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.