← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.58+8.40vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+4.12vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+3.49vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.52+4.47vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.23+4.65vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.49+2.47vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.09-1.08vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.76-0.30vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.63-0.94vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.99-3.22vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.86-0.08vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.67vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97-2.34vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.75-6.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.09vs Predicted
-
18Yale University3.05-10.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.4University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.12Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.49Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.85University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.47Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
11.65Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.47Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.92College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.7Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.06Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
12.92Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.5Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.95Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 22.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.