← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.20+6.82vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.99+6.65vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+4.06vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+1.95vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97+6.72vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.23+4.63vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.76+1.35vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.86+4.13vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.52+0.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.03vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.63-1.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.58-2.95vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.49-3.81vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.09-7.03vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.14vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.75-7.45vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.65Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.06Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.95Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
12.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
-
11.63Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.35Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
13.13Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.69Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
6.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.35Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.05University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.19Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.97College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
10.86University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
9.55Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emma White | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 22.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte List | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.