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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+5.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+7.50vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+5.29vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63+4.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.40vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-2.88vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97+0.99vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-6.69vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-1.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.52vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.27vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.37Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.06Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 21.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 21.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.