← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.58+8.93vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.49+8.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.52+4.88vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.09+1.72vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.76+2.09vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35-1.35vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.05-1.19vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.75-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.99-2.73vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.40vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.20-5.86vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.86-1.67vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.23-3.87vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.63-6.33vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97-4.64vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.93University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.38Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.88Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
7.72College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.09Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.65Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.81Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.27Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.14Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.33Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.13Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.67Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
-
12.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
-
16.64University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 7.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 5.7% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.