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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+8.07vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+7.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+4.95vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+4.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.70vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-2.48vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-2.74vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.54vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.63-3.55vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.41vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-2.46vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.73vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97-4.68vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
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16.63University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 6.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 5.6% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.