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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+4.63vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+6.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+4.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93+1.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-1.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.19-1.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-2.71vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.61-0.95vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-2.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.17vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-5.67vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.31-5.02vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-4.01vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.53-3.74vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.13-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.6Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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11.47University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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8.12Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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13.99Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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15.26Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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16.74University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Brown | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| David Hernandez | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 22.2% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.