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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+1.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40-0.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-1.06vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64-1.31vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.33+1.09vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.21+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.01-0.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.19-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Vermont2.740.2%1st Place
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3.69Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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2.66Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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2.94Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.69Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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7.09McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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7.85Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 15.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 11.8% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 29.2% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 23.7% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 14.2% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 26.1% | 29.8% | 18.2% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 15.7% | 26.6% | 44.4% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 9.4% | 20.8% | 26.9% | 33.4% |
| William Feldman | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 28.1% | 24.4% | 14.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.