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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.15vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.87vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84-0.46vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.46-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Cornell University0.9320.8%1st Place
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2.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2724.6%1st Place
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3.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5610.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Vermont0.8416.4%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University0.4610.6%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin1.1417.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 20.8% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| James Kopack | 24.6% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Brook Wood | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 25.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 30.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.5% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.