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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.46vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.95vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.60vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.07vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.25vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.51vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97+1.31vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.52-1.60vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-5.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.09vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-2.46vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.63-6.32vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.09-9.14vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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16.63University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Jessica Lietz | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 7.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 7.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.