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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+7.32vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+3.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52+3.02vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63+1.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.24vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.44vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-1.96vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-1.72vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.97-2.80vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.09-8.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.67vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.970.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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16.62University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Jessica Lietz | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 6.1% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 10.2% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.