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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.69vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+4.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04+3.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-0.55vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86+1.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.46vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-7.59vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-5.69vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.83-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.69Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.65College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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14.8Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Annie Spence | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 34.3% |
| Camille Matile | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.