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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.75vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.97vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.76vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+5.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+3.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+2.37vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.04+2.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-0.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.17vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-5.90vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.70vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.83-0.08vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-4.68vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.76College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.41Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.92Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Macey McCann | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Camille Matile | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 35.6% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 37.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.