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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+6.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+3.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+2.97vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-0.55vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+1.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.31vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.83+1.74vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-6.08vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.04-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.01vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.65-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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4.54Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.74Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 34.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Macey McCann | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 37.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.