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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.43vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+2.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.16vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+2.15vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.98vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.04-0.02vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.62-3.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-2.67vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-3.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.55vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.83-1.94vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.86-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.98Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.06Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Annie Spence | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Camille Matile | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 18.7% | 38.5% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.