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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.90vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.36vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+6.00vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+4.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97+0.12vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86+1.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-5.31vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-5.67vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.83-0.99vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-7.89vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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10.54Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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11.17Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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15.01Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.9% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Camille Matile | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Macey McCann | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 34.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 34.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.