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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.77vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+5.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.86+6.72vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.04+1.07vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+0.26vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.43vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-4.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-4.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-5.72vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.12-5.42vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-7.94vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.83-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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14.72University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.07Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.82Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 35.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Camille Matile | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 19.6% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.