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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.77vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+4.07vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.86+5.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.11vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.90vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.83+3.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.79vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-5.33vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.04-4.20vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.61vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-5.74vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.41Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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15.14Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.6% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 34.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 39.4% |
| Camille Matile | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Macey McCann | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.