Race 3B

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nikolas Osvalds 28.9% 24.3% 19.1% 14.5% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrew Kurzrok 11.7% 16.7% 18.7% 19.6% 17.2% 11.4% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Hunter Mumma 15.6% 15.0% 16.4% 18.1% 19.5% 11.4% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Bogdan Istrate 1.1% 1.2% 2.9% 3.2% 5.5% 13.1% 25.5% 27.8% 19.7%
Timothy Clark 14.5% 17.5% 15.9% 15.4% 18.6% 12.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
William Feldman 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 7.6% 10.6% 27.8% 23.8% 14.3% 4.3%
Eleanor Leonard 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 8.4% 19.2% 31.0% 32.5%
Austen Fiora 1.1% 0.7% 1.9% 1.1% 3.7% 6.2% 18.0% 24.1% 43.2%
Trevor Burd 23.3% 20.0% 18.1% 18.5% 13.3% 5.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.