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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+2.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.14-0.70vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.46-0.78vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.93-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Vermont0.8415.8%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5610.8%1st Place
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2.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.7%1st Place
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3.3University of Wisconsin1.1417.9%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University0.4610.5%1st Place
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3.2Cornell University0.9319.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 15.8% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| Brook Wood | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 23.9% |
| James Kopack | 25.7% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.9% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 33.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.3% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.