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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+1.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.70vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+3.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+4.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.50vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.04+1.82vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97+0.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.28vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-2.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.83-0.09vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.04vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.50-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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4.59Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.88College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.91Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Macey McCann | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Talia Toland | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Camille Matile | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 35.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 36.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.