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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.98vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+1.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+6.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.57vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+2.51vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.85vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+2.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-1.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.83+3.13vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-3.92vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.61vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.08vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.04-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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15.13Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.69Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 18.8% | 38.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 34.0% |
| Macey McCann | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.