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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+7.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+1.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.55vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.97+2.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-1.19vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-7.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-4.94vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-6.12vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.04-5.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.83-1.94vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.86-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.62Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.56College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.94Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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15.06Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Macey McCann | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 38.4% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 19.8% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.