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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+7.69vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.46vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-1.46vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04+3.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.86+5.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.82vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.83+0.65vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-3.96vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.56vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-5.72vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.50-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.6College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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4.54Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.4Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.65Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 34.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Camille Matile | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 33.8% |
| Annie Spence | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.