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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+5.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+3.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.02+5.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24-0.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.50+0.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14-3.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.79-0.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.77vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-2.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.06-0.16vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Keller | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 15.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 4.5% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 9.9% |
| Preston Tower | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 69.2% |
| Connor Chung | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.