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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+5.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+2.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+2.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.50+1.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-1.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+0.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+1.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-0.63vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-1.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.78vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.79-2.99vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.45vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.06-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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12.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Chris Keller | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 9.3% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 5.0% |
| Emily Haig | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Preston Tower | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.