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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+6.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+3.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.14vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+4.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.50+1.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-1.00vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60-0.76vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02+0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55+0.77vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.79-0.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-6.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.06+0.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.45vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.24Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Chung | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Chris Keller | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 8.6% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 6.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Preston Tower | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 69.8% |
| Emily Haig | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.