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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+7.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+2.45vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+3.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+0.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.50+0.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.02+1.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79+0.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-4.03vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-2.81vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55-1.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.06-0.16vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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6.5Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.94Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hennessey | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Chris Keller | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 5.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 7.9% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| Preston Tower | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 11.8% | 68.4% |
| Connor Chung | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.