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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.64vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+1.50vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.37+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48-0.40vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.37+0.03vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.98+0.02vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.25-2.09vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.17-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
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3.5Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.07Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.03Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.02Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.91Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.23Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 58.5% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 11.7% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| John Lowry | 11.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 10.2% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 30.8% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.