Race 4B

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Kurzrok 15.4% 16.8% 17.6% 17.1% 18.7% 9.6% 4.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Hunter Mumma 12.1% 15.0% 17.8% 20.1% 17.8% 11.5% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Nikolas Osvalds 29.1% 24.9% 17.7% 14.9% 9.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Clark 14.7% 14.1% 18.3% 17.1% 19.5% 11.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Bogdan Istrate 1.4% 0.8% 2.6% 4.0% 5.6% 14.8% 23.8% 25.5% 21.5%
Eleanor Leonard 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 9.6% 18.6% 31.5% 31.1%
Trevor Burd 22.3% 22.3% 18.4% 17.7% 11.9% 5.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Austen Fiora 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 7.4% 15.2% 26.6% 43.1%
William Feldman 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 5.3% 10.6% 27.0% 26.8% 14.3% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.