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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.14+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84-0.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-1.83vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.46-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2724.9%1st Place
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3.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin1.1417.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Vermont0.8416.7%1st Place
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3.17Cornell University0.9320.1%1st Place
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4.31Princeton University0.469.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 24.9% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Brook Wood | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 23.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.0% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 16.7% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.