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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.64vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+1.59vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.43+0.51vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.25+0.87vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.07vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.99vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98-0.93vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.17-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
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3.59University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.51Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.87Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
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5.07Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.01Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.07Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.26Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 57.9% | 27.1% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 11.8% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Austin Lee | 11.2% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 8.9% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.4% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 21.5% | 30.8% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.