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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+1.57vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-2.17+3.28vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.43-0.45vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.25-0.12vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.93vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98-0.93vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
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3.57University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.28Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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3.55Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.88Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
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5.07Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.07Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.96Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 58.5% | 26.0% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 11.6% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Theo Wachowski | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 37.9% |
| Austin Lee | 11.2% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 5.2% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 11.4% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 30.3% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.