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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-0.43+2.47vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-2.17+4.33vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48-0.41vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.08vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.96vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.25-2.09vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.98-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.33Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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1.62Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
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3.59University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.08Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.04Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.91Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
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5.95Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 11.3% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Theo Wachowski | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 38.8% |
| Liam Walz | 59.4% | 25.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 11.0% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.4% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 10.3% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.8% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.2% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 21.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.