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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-0.43+2.73vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+0.92vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.98+2.39vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.66-0.78vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.60vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.37-1.52vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.25-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.73Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.39Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.22Michigan Technological University-0.660.1%1st Place
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5.4Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.48Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.13Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 11.4% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Liam Walz | 54.8% | 26.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 10.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 41.5% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 7.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.