← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.73vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-0.66+2.21vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University-0.43+0.82vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-1.37+1.43vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-1.25+0.24vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.98-0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-0.48-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
4.21Michigan Technological University-0.660.1%1st Place
-
3.82Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.43Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.24Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.38Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.37Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
-
3.83University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 54.3% | 28.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Austin Lee | 10.9% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 13.4% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 41.4% |
| John Lowry | 9.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.