← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.75vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+1.86vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.25+2.21vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-0.43-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-0.66-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.60vs Predicted
-
7Northern Michigan University-1.37-1.55vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-1.98-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
3.86University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.21Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
-
3.83Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.2Michigan Technological University-0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.4Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.45Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.31Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 54.8% | 26.4% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| Austin Lee | 10.3% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 8.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.